Enugu II wrote:
Tbite,
Thanks for bringing this up. Is this current? I thought that our recent performances would have knocked us off the privilege of providing four teams in the near future. Last year, only one of our four teams got to the mini league stage (Enyimba) and only by a hair. This year, it could be worse based on the fixtures. We could easily lose the privilege like Ghana did a few years back.
The first table just shows the rankings for each year. So it is current for now and the 2018 tournament, it is not current for the 2019 edition. We could drop down further by then, if we are not careful.
2010-2014 informed the 2016 tournaments
2011-2015 will inform the 2017 tournaments
2012-2016 will inform the 2018 tournaments
2013-2017 will inform the 2019 tournaments
In recent times our best performance was between 2011-2012 and as you can see that by 2019 those results will not factor in. If one of the teams below us has a great tournament in 2017 and none of our teams make it to the group stage, we could lose spots to one of those teams below such as Cameroon or Libya.
This is especially because results in the most recent tournament are weighed 5 times more than results from the first year of the 5 year period. For teams like Tunisia with such a high points total, it makes no difference what they do for the forseable future they will be fine. Their only concern may be club seeding and obviously what is actually at stake (Financial gain, silverware etc).
but Nigeria is on the cusp. For 2017 and 2018 we will definitely not be losing any spots, but by 2019 we could have lost spots. Of course Nigeria is the type of country that can turn things around overnight, so nobody might even notice how close we were to losing spots. But at the same time, if we don't...it may come as a shock just like our failure to qualify for the 2012 ANC. This 2017 edition IMO is critical. We haven't really been doing anything in the CL and Confed Cup for a long time. Right now, we are just holding on because the countries below us also suck.
To make things worse, it is not clear if there is a tiebreaker if teams are tied at 12th. We could indiscriminately lose out.