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PostPosted: Fri Aug 02, 2019 4:58 pm 
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Those seeking to observe Nigeria move closer to catching up, statistically, with the top teams of Africa in AFCON competition, would have to wait for yet another AFCON. Nigeria could not improve on its three AFCON trophies that would have closed the gap against Egypt, Cameroon, and Ghana who continue to stay ahead with more AFCON championships. In fact, with Algeria's two trophies following the recent triumph at the 2019 AFCON, Nigeria finds itself faced with having to stay ahead of the Algerians.

As has been the case since 1994, we always believe that Nigeria is loaded with exceptional footballing talent. Yet, since, 1994, Nigeria has won just one AFCON. The truth is that while Nigeria may be loaded with talented players, other countries can state exactly the same. Both Ivory Coast with its Mimosifcom Academy and Senegal with Diambarrs Academy may well be producing more elite talent than Nigeria. Thus, there will not be an AFCON tournament that waits for Nigeria to dominate. Nigeria is always going to compete with teams that are equally talented or even more talented. The aspiration to always win must be there but the reality that it may not always happen even with the best of coaches should be acknowledged, even if grudgingly.

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The difficulties of statistical thinking describes a puzzling limitation of our mind: our excessive confidence in what we believe we know, and our apparent inability to acknowledge the full extent of our ignorance and the uncertainty of the world we live in. We are prone to overestimate how much we understand about the world and to underestimate the role of chance in events -- Daniel Kahneman (2011), Winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics
Winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics

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