What the calculators are saying…
Posted: Fri Mar 28, 2025 10:54 am
Here are the scenarios for all teams in Group C:
We'll consider the remaining four matches for each team, exploring all possible combinations of wins, draws, and losses. We'll then calculate the final standings and determine Nigeria's chances of qualifying for the 2026 World Cup.
Note that these scenarios take into account the 3-point deduction imposed on South Africa, with the points awarded to Lesotho. Additionally, consider that 7 runner-up teams already have at least 11 points, making it highly unlikely for Nigeria to advance as a runner-up.
Here are the possible scenarios:
*Scenario 1: Nigeria wins all four remaining matches, South Africa loses all four*
- Nigeria: 19 points
- South Africa: 10 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points
Nigeria qualifies as group winner.
*Scenario 2: Nigeria wins three and draws one, South Africa wins one and loses three*
- Nigeria: 17 points
- South Africa: 13 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points
Nigeria qualifies as group winner.
*Scenario 3: Nigeria wins two, draws two, and loses none, South Africa wins one and draws one, and loses two*
- Nigeria: 15 points
- South Africa: 14 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points
Nigeria qualifies as group winner.
*Scenario 4: Nigeria wins two, draws one, and loses one, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 14 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 12 points
- Benin: 12 points
- Lesotho: 15 points
- Zimbabwe: 8 points
Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.
*Scenario 5: Nigeria wins one, draws three, and loses none, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 13 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points
Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.
*Scenario 6: Nigeria wins one, draws two, and loses one, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 12 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 13 points
- Benin: 13 points
- Lesotho: 15 points
- Zimbabwe: 9 points
Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.
*Scenario 7: Nigeria wins none, draws four, and loses none, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 11 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points
Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.
*Scenario 8: Nigeria loses all four remaining matches, South Africa wins all four*
- Nigeria: 7 points
- South Africa: 19 points
- Rwanda: 15 points
- Benin: 15 points
- Lesotho: 18 points
- Zimbabwe: 11 points
Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.
In all scenarios, Nigeria's main hope is to win the group.
We'll consider the remaining four matches for each team, exploring all possible combinations of wins, draws, and losses. We'll then calculate the final standings and determine Nigeria's chances of qualifying for the 2026 World Cup.
Note that these scenarios take into account the 3-point deduction imposed on South Africa, with the points awarded to Lesotho. Additionally, consider that 7 runner-up teams already have at least 11 points, making it highly unlikely for Nigeria to advance as a runner-up.
Here are the possible scenarios:
*Scenario 1: Nigeria wins all four remaining matches, South Africa loses all four*
- Nigeria: 19 points
- South Africa: 10 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points
Nigeria qualifies as group winner.
*Scenario 2: Nigeria wins three and draws one, South Africa wins one and loses three*
- Nigeria: 17 points
- South Africa: 13 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points
Nigeria qualifies as group winner.
*Scenario 3: Nigeria wins two, draws two, and loses none, South Africa wins one and draws one, and loses two*
- Nigeria: 15 points
- South Africa: 14 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points
Nigeria qualifies as group winner.
*Scenario 4: Nigeria wins two, draws one, and loses one, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 14 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 12 points
- Benin: 12 points
- Lesotho: 15 points
- Zimbabwe: 8 points
Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.
*Scenario 5: Nigeria wins one, draws three, and loses none, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 13 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points
Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.
*Scenario 6: Nigeria wins one, draws two, and loses one, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 12 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 13 points
- Benin: 13 points
- Lesotho: 15 points
- Zimbabwe: 9 points
Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.
*Scenario 7: Nigeria wins none, draws four, and loses none, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 11 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points
Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.
*Scenario 8: Nigeria loses all four remaining matches, South Africa wins all four*
- Nigeria: 7 points
- South Africa: 19 points
- Rwanda: 15 points
- Benin: 15 points
- Lesotho: 18 points
- Zimbabwe: 11 points
Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.
In all scenarios, Nigeria's main hope is to win the group.