What the calculators are saying…

[Babalawo]

Here are the scenarios for all teams in Group C:

We'll consider the remaining four matches for each team, exploring all possible combinations of wins, draws, and losses. We'll then calculate the final standings and determine Nigeria's chances of qualifying for the 2026 World Cup.

Note that these scenarios take into account the 3-point deduction imposed on South Africa, with the points awarded to Lesotho. Additionally, consider that 7 runner-up teams already have at least 11 points, making it highly unlikely for Nigeria to advance as a runner-up.

Here are the possible scenarios:

*Scenario 1: Nigeria wins all four remaining matches, South Africa loses all four*
- Nigeria: 19 points
- South Africa: 10 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points

Nigeria qualifies as group winner.

*Scenario 2: Nigeria wins three and draws one, South Africa wins one and loses three*
- Nigeria: 17 points
- South Africa: 13 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points

Nigeria qualifies as group winner.

*Scenario 3: Nigeria wins two, draws two, and loses none, South Africa wins one and draws one, and loses two*
- Nigeria: 15 points
- South Africa: 14 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points

Nigeria qualifies as group winner.

*Scenario 4: Nigeria wins two, draws one, and loses one, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 14 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 12 points
- Benin: 12 points
- Lesotho: 15 points
- Zimbabwe: 8 points

Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.

*Scenario 5: Nigeria wins one, draws three, and loses none, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 13 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points

Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.

*Scenario 6: Nigeria wins one, draws two, and loses one, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 12 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 13 points
- Benin: 13 points
- Lesotho: 15 points
- Zimbabwe: 9 points

Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.

*Scenario 7: Nigeria wins none, draws four, and loses none, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 11 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points

Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.

*Scenario 8: Nigeria loses all four remaining matches, South Africa wins all four*
- Nigeria: 7 points
- South Africa: 19 points
- Rwanda: 15 points
- Benin: 15 points
- Lesotho: 18 points
- Zimbabwe: 11 points

Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.

In all scenarios, Nigeria's main hope is to win the group.

[Babalawo]

I still don’t think we will make it.
We wouldn’t make the playoffs either.
I am yet to recover from the stupidity of the Zimbabwean equalizer.

The team should focus on fine tuning itself during the friendlies and prepare for a good ANC 2025

[Bigpokey24]

Now I know we are qualifying for sure

[icee]

I still don’t think we will make it.
We wouldn’t even make the playoff either.
I am yet to recover from the stupidity of the Zimbabwean equalizer.

The team should focus on fine running itself during the friendlies and prepare for a good ANC 2025

Bro that goal by Zim knocked me out.

[bret- hart]

Only hope is if FIFA takes 3 points off South Africa.

[naijaguy]

Okay our chances are high. We will qualify.

[Enugu II]

Here are the scenarios for all teams in Group C:

We'll consider the remaining four matches for each team, exploring all possible combinations of wins, draws, and losses. We'll then calculate the final standings and determine Nigeria's chances of qualifying for the 2026 World Cup.

Note that these scenarios take into account the 3-point deduction imposed on South Africa, with the points awarded to Lesotho. Additionally, consider that 7 runner-up teams already have at least 11 points, making it highly unlikely for Nigeria to advance as a runner-up.

Here are the possible scenarios:

*Scenario 1: Nigeria wins all four remaining matches, South Africa loses all four*
- Nigeria: 19 points
- South Africa: 10 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points

Nigeria qualifies as group winner.

*Scenario 2: Nigeria wins three and draws one, South Africa wins one and loses three*
- Nigeria: 17 points
- South Africa: 13 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points

Nigeria qualifies as group winner.

*Scenario 3: Nigeria wins two, draws two, and loses none, South Africa wins one and draws one, and loses two*
- Nigeria: 15 points
- South Africa: 14 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points

Nigeria qualifies as group winner.

*Scenario 4: Nigeria wins two, draws one, and loses one, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 14 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 12 points
- Benin: 12 points
- Lesotho: 15 points
- Zimbabwe: 8 points

Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.

*Scenario 5: Nigeria wins one, draws three, and loses none, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 13 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points

Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.

*Scenario 6: Nigeria wins one, draws two, and loses one, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 12 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 13 points
- Benin: 13 points
- Lesotho: 15 points
- Zimbabwe: 9 points

Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.

*Scenario 7: Nigeria wins none, draws four, and loses none, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 11 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points

Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.

*Scenario 8: Nigeria loses all four remaining matches, South Africa wins all four*
- Nigeria: 7 points
- South Africa: 19 points
- Rwanda: 15 points
- Benin: 15 points
- Lesotho: 18 points
- Zimbabwe: 11 points

Nigeria is eliminated. South Africa qualifies as group winner.

In all scenarios, Nigeria's main hope is to win the group.

That is the coco of the matter. Given the points already accumulated by second placed teams in other groups and the huge number of draws in Nigeria's group, a second placed team qualifying from Nigeria's group is like a camel passing through the needle's eyes. It is unlikely to occur.... that is the bottomline.

Nigeria's best chance is a South African miraculous collapse and Nigeria winning the group outright. An impossible but a thin chance.

[vancity eagle]

Without FIFA our chances are virtually none.

With FIFA we still have to worry about our inability to win matches, especially at home.

[Lolly]

This is the most likely scenario. That South Africa team is not losing against Lesotho, Zimbabwe, Rwanda and even Nigeria at home. They are a much better team than all the others. Except they get a red card in one of the matches.

*Scenario 5: Nigeria wins one, draws three, and loses none, South Africa wins three, draws one*
- Nigeria: 13 points
- South Africa: 17 points
- Rwanda: 11 points
- Benin: 11 points
- Lesotho: 12 points
- Zimbabwe: 7 points

[Rawlings]

[Babalawo]

I still don’t think we will make it.
We wouldn’t even make the playoff either.
I am yet to recover from the stupidity of the Zimbabwean equalizer.

The team should focus on fine running itself during the friendlies and prepare for a good ANC 2025

Bro that goal by Zim knocked me out.

I am yet to recover from the amount of Alcohol I drank that day out of annoyance.
Throughout the night I kept turning and hissing, my madam got upset and had to remind me it’s just football.